Business4/8/2026•CNN

Iran is holding the world economy hostage. Trump’s truce proves its leverage | CNN Business

Iran is holding the world economy hostage. Trump’s truce proves its leverage | CNN Business

President Donald Trump has cast a fragile two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran as a “total and complete victory.” But the terms of the truce highlight how Iran has used control of the Strait of Hormuz to gain enormous leverage over the global economy. That the ceasefire is conditional on Iran agreeing to reopen the vital waterway is a tacit acknowledgement of Tehran’s influence over the world’s most important oil chokepoint – and, with it, significant chunks of the global economy. “Iran doesn’t need a lot of military might to cause a huge disruption in the global economy,” Brookings energy expert Samantha Gross said last month. Investors and traders cheered the ceasefire, even as analysts warned that global oil supply worries have not gone away. Crude oil prices plunged 15-20% on Wednesday, with benchmark European natural gas prices tumbling by a similar margin. “There are significant hurdles to overcome before the ceasefire agreement between the US, Israel and Iran can translate into a lasting end to the war,” Neil Shearing, chief economist at Capital Economics, cautioned in a note. “For markets, the most critical issue remains the status of

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