US intel finds no China plan to invade Taiwan by 2027, despite military buildup

This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. ©2026 FOX News Network, LLC. All rights reserved. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Market data provided by Factset. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Legal Statement. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by LSEG. Sen. John Barrasso, R-Wyo., discusses the U.S.-Israeli operation in Iran and its potential impact on global oil and gas prices on 'Sunday Morning Futures.' Despite years of warnings that China could move on Taiwan within the decade, the U.S. intelligence community now assesses that Beijing is not planning an invasion of Taiwan by 2027 and has no fixed timeline for doing so. "The IC assesses that Chinese leaders do not currently plan to execute an invasion of Taiwan in 2027, nor do they have a fixed timeline for achieving unification," according to a newly released Annual Threat Assessment. The finding marks a shift from prior warnings in Washington that China would have the capability to move on Taiwan within a narrowing window — often referred to as the "Davidson Window," after a 2021 warning from a top U.S. Indo-Pacific commander. That benchmark ga