Not just the base: Democrats in recent elections are flipping independent and Republican votes | CNN Politics
Two special election victories in Florida provided more evidence that the Democratic success in elections since Donald Trumpâs return to the White House rests not just on a motivated base but also on winning over Republicans and independents. More registered Republicans than registered Democrats voted in two special elections on March 24, according to turnout data from election officials. In state House District 87, the district including Mar-a-Lago that was flipped by Democrat Emily Gregory, voter turnout was 46% Republican to 36% Democrat. In state Senate District 14, Democrat Brian Nathan finished ahead in a race with 46% GOP turnout versus 37% Democrat. In both races, Gregory and Nathan overperformed 2024 presidential margins by an amount larger than the shift in partisan turnout. That suggests that Democratic success was not just from turning out their base â some combination of registered Republicans and unaffiliated voters likely also broke toward the Democratic candidates. For example, in the district that included Mar-a-Lago, had all the registered Republicans voted for Jon Maples, the GOP candidate, voters not affiliated with either major party would have broken for G
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