General5/2/2026•BBC

Winners, losers and a PM on the brink - what to expect in next week's elections

Winners, losers and a PM on the brink - what to expect in next week's elections

I promise this will not be a piece about whether or not the election results will give the Prime Minister his metaphorical P45. Not a huge amount has changed since I wrote about the level of doom last month. Unless you've been living on another planet, you'll have heard or read plenty of talk, and it's serious, about whether or not Labour MPs are going to move against the prime minister. It's grave enough for Starmer's allies to be getting their lines out early - striking a defiant tone, telling me this morning he'll "accept no deals, no pacts, no timetables, and will get on with being PM". "Keir is on the international stage focusing on ensuring that Trump doesn't wipe out the hard-fought progress the government has made on the cost of living crisis," they told me. "He isn't going to spend months talking to the membership when the country needs him to lead it." The message is clear to his MPs and restless ministers - try if you like, but I'll fight you to stay. Starmer's camp is overtly rejecting any notion that he might, as Theresa May was forced to do, put a sell-by date on his time in No 10. They gave this warning, specifically targeted at Angela Rayner: "Everyone knows that a

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