All 4 Iran war assumptions dead wrong — Trump proves experts got fooled again

This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. ©2026 FOX News Network, LLC. All rights reserved. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Market data provided by Factset. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Legal Statement. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by LSEG. House Democrats questioned Under Secretary of War for Policy Elbridge Colby about President Donald Trump's previous comments regarding war with Iran, as they claimed that he broke his campaign promise. (Credit: CSPAN) In these early days of Operation Epic Fury, while much remains unknown, one thing has become clear: how little the conventional wisdom about foreign policy in Washington, D.C., has to do with the realities taking shape on the battlefield. Traditionally, four things were assumed to be near inevitable if the United States and/or Israel were to take significant military action against Iran: A group of men inspects the ruins of a police station struck amid the U.S.–Israeli military campaign in Tehran, Iran, on Tuesday, March 3, 2026. (Vahid Salemi/AP) Obviously, the supreme leader was not untouchable. He was eliminated in one of the opening