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Senior Labour figures warn government amid fears of ‘political earthquake’ in London

Exclusive: Senior party figures share data suggesting Green surge could put Labour in fourth place in capital in May Senior Labour politicians across London have warned the government not to take progressive voters for granted, with concerns the party faces a “political earthquake” in the capital in May after a surge in support for the Greens. They have been privately circulating new data that suggests Labour could drop from first to fourth place in London in the May elections – losing control of all but two of their councils – with the Greens soaring into first place to take nine. “The government needs to demonstrate that they’re not taking liberal, progressive voters in the capital for granted,” a senior London Labour figure warned. Another added: “It’s going to be a total catastrophe for us in London. If we lose swathes of voters on our progressive flank then we’re doomed. We need to start listening to them.” A new technique, which builds on MRP modelling and correctly predicted the Gorton and Denton byelection result, forecasts that Labour, which holds 21 boroughs in London, could lose flagship authorities such as Hackney and Lambeth to the Greens. The mod

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Mar 27, 2026
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Mar 6, 2026 → Mar 27, 2026

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Mar 27, 2026·BBCT2 · Outlet report
No evidence of 'family voting' in Gorton and Denton by-election

There was "no evidence" of "family voting" or voter coercion at the Gorton and Denton by-election, police have concluded after an investigation. Reform UK leader, Nigel Farage, reported allegations of the illegal practice after the poll…

Read original at BBC →
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Mar 27, 2026·BBCT2 · Outlet reportLATEST
No evidence of 'family voting' in Gorton and Denton by-election

There was "no evidence" of "family voting" or voter coercion at the Gorton and Denton by-election, police have concluded after an investigation. Reform UK leader, Nigel Farage, reported allegations of the illegal…

Read original at BBC →
Mar 6, 2026·The GuardianT2 · Outlet reportKEY MOMENT
Proportional representation is true rule by the people | Letters

Readers respond to Gaby Hinsliff’s defence of first past the post, and Polly Toynbee’s call for electoral reform Gaby Hinsliff (Nobody wants to defend Britain’s voting system any more – but here’s why I will, 26…

Read original at The Guardian →
Mar 6, 2026·The GuardianT2 · Outlet reportOPENING
Senior Labour figures warn government amid fears of ‘political earthquake’ in London

Exclusive: Senior party figures share data suggesting Green surge could put Labour in fourth place in capital in May Senior Labour politicians across London have warned the government not to take progressive voters for…

Read original at The Guardian →

Sources & evidence (3)

What this story stands on. Tier 0 is a primary record or the subject's own words; higher tiers must be attributed, never stated as bare fact.

T2 · Outlet report× 3
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T2 · Outlet reportBBCMar 27, 2026

There was "no evidence" of "family voting" or voter coercion at the Gorton and Denton by-election, police have concluded after an investigation. Reform UK leader, Nigel Farage, reported allegations of the illegal practice after the poll…

View source →
T2 · Outlet reportThe GuardianMar 6, 2026

Readers respond to Gaby Hinsliff’s defence of first past the post, and Polly Toynbee’s call for electoral reform Gaby Hinsliff (Nobody wants to defend Britain’s voting system any more – but here’s why I will, 26 February) writes that…

View source →
T2 · Outlet reportThe GuardianMar 6, 2026

Exclusive: Senior party figures share data suggesting Green surge could put Labour in fourth place in capital in May Senior Labour politicians across London have warned the government not to take progressive voters for granted, with…

View source →

Tier key: T0 = Primary source · T1 = Wire · T2 = Outlet report · T3 = Commentary

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