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US traders make big profits betting on Maduro’s capture in January

The article discusses how US traders have profited significantly by betting on the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in January. It appears that the arrest of Maduro was anticipated on "prediction markets," where people place bets on future events. Traders seem to have successfully wagered on Maduro's political downfall, making large profits even before Donald Trump's surprise announcement on Saturday morning. The article suggests that the traders were able to anticipate Maduro's capture and take advantage of the situation through these prediction markets. Overall, the article highlights the financial gains made by US traders who correctly predicted Maduro's political fate.

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Jan 6, 2026
latest update

Jan 5, 2026 → Jan 6, 2026

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Jan 6, 2026·GizmodoT2 · Outlet report
Odds of Trump Seizing Greenland and Panama Canal Rise on Prediction Markets

According to prediction markets, the odds of former U.S. President Donald Trump attempting to seize control of Greenland and the Panama Canal have increased. The White House has stated that utilizing the U.S. military is always an option…

Read original at Gizmodo →
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January 2026

2 updates
Jan 6, 2026·GizmodoT2 · Outlet reportLATEST
Odds of Trump Seizing Greenland and Panama Canal Rise on Prediction Markets

According to prediction markets, the odds of former U.S. President Donald Trump attempting to seize control of Greenland and the Panama Canal have increased. The White House has stated that utilizing the U.S. military…

Read original at Gizmodo →
Jan 5, 2026·The GuardianT2 · Outlet reportOPENING
US traders make big profits betting on Maduro’s capture in January

The article discusses how US traders have profited significantly by betting on the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in January. It appears that the arrest of Maduro was anticipated on "prediction markets,"…

Read original at The Guardian →

Sources & evidence (2)

What this story stands on. Tier 0 is a primary record or the subject's own words; higher tiers must be attributed, never stated as bare fact.

T2 · Outlet report× 2
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The Guardian 1Gizmodo 1
STRONGEST EVIDENCE
T2 · Outlet reportGizmodoJan 6, 2026

According to prediction markets, the odds of former U.S. President Donald Trump attempting to seize control of Greenland and the Panama Canal have increased. The White House has stated that utilizing the U.S. military is always an option…

View source →
T2 · Outlet reportThe GuardianJan 5, 2026

The article discusses how US traders have profited significantly by betting on the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in January. It appears that the arrest of Maduro was anticipated on "prediction markets," where people place…

View source →

Tier key: T0 = Primary source · T1 = Wire · T2 = Outlet report · T3 = Commentary

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